The Threshold of Escalation: Global Reactions to the 2026 Strikes on Iranian Nuclear Facilities

Chapter III: The Mexican Position and the “Non-Interference” Doctrine
In a notable turn, the Mexican administration offered a response rooted in its traditional “Estrada Doctrine”—a policy of non-intervention in the internal affairs of other sovereign states. The Mexican President stated that while the situation is grave, Mexico’s priority remains the stability of the global economy and the protection of its own citizens abroad.

Mexico’s stance reflects a broader sentiment among middle-power nations: a fear that a total collapse of U.S.-Iran relations will lead to a global energy crisis. As a significant oil producer, Mexico views the potential for a “Middle East fire” with a mixture of economic caution and diplomatic distance.

Chapter IV: Global Market Reactions and Economic Volatility
The immediate aftermath of the announcement saw a surge in Brent Crude prices. Markets detest uncertainty, and the targeting of a sovereign nation’s hardened military/industrial sites is the ultimate uncertainty.

The “Energy Tax” of Conflict
Economic analysts suggest that if Iran follows through with threats to disrupt shipping lanes, the world could see: Continue reading…