“When a president’s approval dips below 45%, lawmakers in his own party start to think differently,” explained historian Elaine Berns. “They become less willing to take risks for him, especially with midterm elections on the horizon.”
The historical pattern is clear: presidents with approval below 45% often see heavy losses in Congress during midterms. That’s why Trump’s latest numbers are rattling Republicans, even those who normally stand firmly behind him.
What Americans Are Angry About
Among Republicans, more than a third said they’re frustrated with tariffs, which some believe are hurting the stock market and raising consumer prices.
Among Democrats and independents, the concerns are more about tone and trust.
- 62% said Trump “stokes division.”
- 55% believe he “undermines the rule of law.”
- Nearly half said they “no longer trust what he says about the economy.”
Even on issues where Trump once commanded strong support — crime, immigration, and trade — the numbers are slipping.
The Demographic Divide
Trump’s core base remains older, white, non-college-educated men — the same demographic that helped him return to power.Continue reading…
